Tuesday, 24 February 2015

A WEEK OF EXPECTATIONS (24/02/2015)


Last week of February is considered a week of expectations in India: the time when the people expect the Government to deliver. This year this expectation is still higher- the Government will be unfolding its vision for the transformations of India through the budget- an exercise which raises ray of hopes for everyone. The debate in the chartered bus and the metro also veered around the forthcoming budget and expectations of the salaried class from it. Invariably people expect relaxation in income tax slabs. These are small gift which gives a sigh of relief to salaried class. Every year India Today, the premier national news-magazine, feature opinion of noted economists and experts aimed at improving the Indian economy. Some of these suggestions this year include, reducing fiscal deficit, reducing regulations to boost investment, reducing Government expenditures, reducing Government intervention in areas where these can be avoided i.e. “minimum government, maximum governance”, devise ways to improve consumption, savings, create opportunities for more jobs and above all herald in a regime of simplified tax structure.  I am reminded of commentaries on budget by noted lawyer Mr. Nani A. Palkiwala whose terse analysis of the union budget in eighties and nineties is still remembered. What intrigues me is that some of the suggestions that he made in the nineties still holds good. Eg. In 1984-85 he had advised the Government to inject the “S” factor in the fiscal and tax laws: Sane, Simple and Stable. 30 years later we are still struggling to simplify our tax structure with ideas such as the Goods and Services Tax (GST) and Direct Tax System (DTS) in discussion. In 1985-86 Mr. Palkiwala had advised reduction in government controls, quoting Dr. Gunner Myrdal that, excessive control only leads people to become tax dodgers. It holds true even today. Mr. Nani A. Palkiwala was opposed to allocation of token amount for welfare schemes which he termed as “token gestures”. He quoted noted economist Raj Krishna who had lamented “that only a small portion of funds trickle down to the target groups”. 30 years later we are still struggling to control such leakages- the latest being the ambitious ‘jan-dhan yojana’ for direct benefit transfer (DBT). In 1990 Mr. Palkiwala opposed government’s decision to abolish investment allowance which he felt would affect fresh investment in India. Even today economists are devising ways and means to improve foreign investment. For the rising fiscal deficit Mr. Palkiwala had a piece of advice from Thomas Jefferson who had warned that “the question whether one generation has the right to bind another by the deficit it imposes is a question of such consequences as to place it among the fundamental principles of Government. We should consider ourselves unauthorized to saddle posterity without debts, and morally bound to pay them ourselves.” The same is also true for the parallel economy which has come to challenge the main economy. 
It appears the wheels of progress have not moved as fast as it ought to have. We must realize that fashion in ideas change, as do fashions in clothes. India, it appears, is much less quick to follow new fashions in ideas than other nations; leading to a situation where its growth models are outmaneuvered by other nations leaving India a  developing economy. The newly constituted NITI Aayog has an important role to play in order to make the transformation really happening.    
Lastly, Mr. Nani A. Palkiwala had a sound advice for the opposition also, which, like his other suggestions, has stood the test of time: political parties should prefer to confront the problems faced by the nation together instead of confronting each other. He had lamented criticism of the opposition parties of the 1992-93 budget presented by Dr. Manmohan Singh. He felt that “one of the great failings of democracy is the mistaken belief that it is the duty of the opposition to oppose”. How prophetic! Even today the proceedings of Parliament were disrupted, and this saddens me since the nation suffers in the long run.
Let’s see what new this budget has to offer to the nation that Mr. Nani A Palkiwala had not predicted 30 years back.  

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